Meal Kit Mathematics

Agustus 04, 2017
Are Meal Kits a practiced value?  Let's do the math here.


In a previous posting , I opined that repast kits were a sign of the apocalypse , at to the lowest degree a personal fiscal apocalypse for the individual.  Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 reader responded that they felt for $10 a serving , it was a "good value" as well as convenient.   And every bit I noted , you pay for convenience.  Even the Sooze agrees amongst this.

They also made the declaration that since in that location were no "leftovers" they were saving money yesteryear non throwing nutrient away.  But every bit I pointed out , if y'all purchase plenty ingredients to build four servings , good as well as so y'all induce got meals for ii nights , instead of i (freeze or refrigerate ii servings for later on , hence cutting your labor "cost" inward half).

I analyzed before how much to a greater extent than cheaply y'all tin sack build nutrient at habitation versus a restaurant.  Using the ubiquitous "egg sandwich meal" every bit an event , I illustrated that the cost of the repast at a fast-food eating seat was almost iv bucks , whereas the cost of making it at habitation was less than a dollar - a four-to-one delta inward costs.   Since I wrote that weblog entry , nutrient costs at the grocery store induce got genuinely gone down.   Eggs are almost one-half the cost they were inward 2014!

In an era of ultra-cheap groceries , why pay someone else to store for you?

But I realized that doing the math on this was essential to showing how much the savings are.   So let's do that , using every bit an event , the Seared Chicken as well as Pasta Salad that is sold yesteryear Blue Apron.  I opined that nosotros could salve every bit much every bit 50% inward costs.  Let's run across just how much nosotros tin sack save.

(A reader notes that the banner advertizement accompanying my final posting on the champaign of report was an advertizement for Martha Stewart's Meal Kits , which is ironic , considering my opinion on Meal Kits as well as Martha Stewart!).

As I noted inward my before posting , it is prissy that Blue Apron provides the recipes for gratis , online.  But of course of educational activity , in that location are so many gratis online recipe sites as well as give-and-take groups these days that if y'all can't honour something to build , you aren't trying.   There are sites where y'all tin sack type inward what y'all induce got inward your closet as well as it volition give y'all suggestions every bit to what to make!  And in that location are fifty-fifty cookbooks at your local library y'all tin sack cheque out for free.   Write downward favorite recipes on recipe cards as well as locomote along them inward a carte du jour box.  Mark has his Mother's as well as Grandmother's recipe boxes , as well as they are referred to frequently.  And he has a host of cookbooks he likes to use.   This isn't rocket scientific discipline , really.   With a fiddling essay as well as the powerfulness to follow instructions , anyone tin sack build a decent meal.

Here are the ingredients from the Blue Apron site , for the Seared Chicken as well as Pasta Salad.  Boy , that sounds a lot to a greater extent than fancy than cooked chicken as well as boiled pasta , don't it?   But that is what it is , really.

Total cost for ii servings:  $20

Since nosotros induce got the ingredients listing , nosotros tin sack become online as well as run across what these items cost at the local grocery store.  Wal-Mart has a "family pack" of chicken breasts (about 11) which weighs almost 4-5 lbs.   You tin sack freeze the ones y'all aren't using for later on use.  I could non honour a cost for those online , but they did induce got the "Sanderson" brand which comes 3 to a pack for almost $3.48 a pound.  This seems sort of high , given that chicken thorax at the deli is almost $6.98 a pound , cooked , but let's become amongst it.  For ii chicken breasts of 1/2 pound each (being generous) our cost is $3.48 for ii servings. 

The side yesteryear side special , Fregola Sarda Pasta , sounds exotic ,  Surely they don't induce got that at Wal-Mart , right?  After all , all they induce got in that location is dented cans of peas as well as expired nutrient items.  Think in i trial again , the world's largest retailer of organic hit has your fancy pasta - inward ii varieties.   $4.88 for 17.6 ounces.  They also induce got a fancier sort for over $20 a package.  According to in i trial source , one loving cup of this pasta is almost 6 ounces.  So if nosotros piece of occupation the regular pasta , nosotros are talking $1.10 of pasta.  If nosotros wanted to become to the pricey sort , it would hold out almost $4.50.  I'm guessing that Blue Apron isn't giving y'all the pricey kind.

Sweet peppers are an interesting holler , every bit the Blue Apron site admits the term encompasses a position out of dissimilar sort of peppers , including bell peppers.  From the photos , it looks similar they are using sliced ruddy bell peppers.  According to the Wal-Mart site , these are almost $1 each.  According to this site , a pound (16 ounces) is almost 3 bell peppers.  So nosotros are looking at 75 cents worth of peppers.

Now Garlic!  That's my thing.  I would add together five bulbs of garlic , but let's stick to the recipe.  Again , the local Wal-Mart has garlic bulbs for $3.74 for 20 ounces or xviii cents per ounce.   The average garlic clove weighs 4-7 grams.  Let's assume vii grams or almost a quarter ounce.   Let's hold out generous as well as say an ounce , or xviii cents.  You should induce got this inward your pantry all the fourth dimension , yesteryear the way.

Lemons are difficult to honour prices for online , although I constitute this USDA site for nutrient pricing.  SAM's society has a three-pound pocketbook for $5.98 or almost $2 a pound.  One lemon weights almost iv ounces or a quarter pound , making it 25 cents.

Summer crush according to this site , is almost $2 a pound.  Walmart lists it for $1.25 each.  Let's hold out generous as well as assume $2 for i squash.

Parsley runs almost 98 cents a bunch.   You should hold out buying this , along amongst garlic , every calendar week anyway.  Note that for this recipe for ii people , y'all probable volition piece of occupation alone one-half a bunch , but lets' say a whole bunch , merely to hold out fair.

Capers run almost $2.98 for a 3-ounce jar.   That's almost 85 cents an ounce.  One ounce is a fiddling over 3 tablespoons of capers.  So we're looking at 26 cents of capers.

Butter runs almost $3.58 a pound at Wal-Mart for Land-O-Lakes.  We tend to piece of occupation "Great Value" build ourselves.  That's 22.4 cents an ounce for the name-brand.  Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 tablespoon is almost 14.2 grams or 0.5 ounces or almost 11.2 cents. 

So what is our total?




  • 2 Boneless , Skinless Chicken Breasts    $3.48
  • Cup Fregola Sarda Pasta  $1.10
  • 4 Ounces Sweet Peppers $0.75
  • 2 Cloves Garlic  $0.18
  • 1 Lemon $0.25
  • 1 Summer Squash $2.00
  • 1 Bunch Parsley $0.98
  • 1 Tablespoon Capers 0.26
  • 2 Tablespoons Butter 0.11


  • Total Cost for ii servings:  $9.11


    As y'all tin sack run across , the savings are at to the lowest degree 50% if non more.  Is this a lot of money?   Yes , it tin sack hold out , over time.  Like a $3 Starbucks potable (or worse , a $5 one) it adds up.    If y'all pass $20 on a repast for ii , 3 times a calendar week , that comes to $60 , or $30 (at least) to a greater extent than than y'all would induce got spent at the grocery store.  That comes to $1040 a yr , which over thirty years at a paltry 5% involvement , could hold out $108 ,826.83 inward your retirement trouble concern human relationship - or plenty to retire a ii or 3 years early on , which y'all may hold out forced to do later on inward life.

    "But Bob!" y'all say , "This saves me a trip to the grocery store as well as I'm so busy!"    Well , outset of all , you aren't all that busy , y'all merely scout likewise much television.  Second of all , y'all go to the grocery store anyway , so what's the large deal?  You merely induce got to purchase a few to a greater extent than items - it takes 10-15 minutes tops.

    The existent care is , of course of educational activity , that people can't figure out what it is they demand at the grocery store - they basically can't accept aid of themselves.  They are super-busy at a $100 ,000-a-year project , but they can't invention a repast as well as build a grocery list.   They are helpless every bit kittens.   And when y'all are helpless , y'all volition instruct fleeced , financially , over as well as over in i trial again inward life.

    So accept 5 minutes out of i twenty-four hours a calendar week as well as build a repast invention as well as a grocery list.   This analysis was just for 3 meals a week , the basic "plan" of Blue Apron.   Think almost the savings if y'all made most of your meals at habitation - as well as ate out at restaurants far less.   You'd induce got hundreds of thousands inward your retirement plan.

    Note that I am existence generous on pricing here.  If y'all purchase inward volume , seek out bargains , y'all may hold out able to halve this cost.  We honour that "store brand" butter is merely fine , every bit are a lot of other "off-brand" items.

    Note also that in i trial y'all start cooking at habitation , a lot of these "ingredients" volition always hold out inward your pantry , so y'all don't induce got to "shop" for them.   And if y'all are missing an component , y'all tin sack improvise amongst what is at hand.  Real cooking is based on making something from what is at mitt , non finding a listing of ingredients as well as making a "recipe".   French Cuisine - indeed most cuisine - was based on making something from ingredients , often inexpensive ingredients , that people had on hand.  That's why they perfected sauces.

    Sadly , most people don't run across this.  They run across $60 a calendar week every bit "not a lot of money" as well as intend almost the nib at the eating seat they ate at final week.  Hey , 3 meals for the cost of i eating seat meal!  Such a care , right?   It is the same sort of ersatz mathematics that people piece of occupation to lease cars.  Hey , for the cost of buying a Camry , I tin sack lease a Lexus!  This has to hold out a improve care , right?

    Wrong.  When y'all expect at the overall costs of the transaction , as well as the costs over fourth dimension , it adds up.   And a lot of people who intend they are "making practiced money" as well as hence "can afford it" volition honour out , later on inward life , that that six-figure paycheck was a fleeting matter , as well as in i trial they circular the curvature on historic stream 50 , no i wants or needs their antiquated project skills.

    By as well as so , it is likewise belatedly to intend , "Gee , I wishing I hadn't blown coin on stupid things similar repast kits!"

    Way likewise late.


    UPDATE:  Some powerfulness scrap , "Well , I'm genuinely rich as well as I tin sack afford repast kits!"   And perhaps this is so , although if y'all were really rich , y'all could afford your ain live-in Chef as well as y'all don't soil your hands amongst "meal kits."   The quest is , few people tin sack genuinely afford to squander this much coin , so the persuasion of repast kits existence "The Next Big Thing!" is a fiddling overstated.   There are alone so many clueless upper-middle-class people who think they tin sack afford this , as well as no barriers to entry inward this marketplace.   In improver to Blue Apron , nosotros induce got practiced one-time Martha Stewart , as well as similar a shot Amazon throwing its chapeau inward the ring.   Before y'all invest inward stock inward these things , inquire yourself , how many repast kit companies tin sack the marketplace support?   Not that many , to hold out sure!

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